# High Probability Advisors, LLC

> Institutional holdings reported to the SEC as of Q2 2026 on Form 13F. CIK 2039415. Source: https://holderbook.com/funds/2039415-high-probability-advisors-llc/

- Reported value: $935.0M
- Positions: 75
- Weight of the ten largest: 66.4%
- Filed: 2026-07-13

A 13F reports long US equity positions only. Short positions, bonds, foreign listings, private holdings and cash are not visible, so this is not the manager's whole book.

## Holdings

| Security | Ticker | Value | Shares | Weight | Quarters held |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOLDMAN SACHS ETF TR | [GSLC](https://holderbook.com/stocks/GSLC/) | $117.3M | 827,017 | 12.5% | 23 |
| ISHARES TR | [MTUM](https://holderbook.com/stocks/MTUM/) | $110.4M | 322,023 | 11.8% | 23 |
| DIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST | [DUHP](https://holderbook.com/stocks/DUHP/) | $67.2M | 1,609,605 | 7.2% | 17 |
| BLACKROCK ETF TRUST | [DYNF](https://holderbook.com/stocks/DYNF/) | $59.9M | 881,484 | 6.4% | 8 |
| ISHARES TR | [NYF](https://holderbook.com/stocks/NYF/) | $51.5M | 956,143 | 5.5% | 23 |
| GOLDMAN SACHS ETF TR | [GSIE](https://holderbook.com/stocks/GSIE/) | $48.6M | 1,063,683 | 5.2% | 23 |
| DIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST | [DIHP](https://holderbook.com/stocks/DIHP/) | $44.6M | 1,307,603 | 4.8% | 17 |
| SCHWAB STRATEGIC TR | [SCHO](https://holderbook.com/stocks/SCHO/) | $42.5M | 1,758,868 | 4.5% | 18 |
| ISHARES TR | [USMV](https://holderbook.com/stocks/USMV/) | $40.2M | 417,169 | 4.3% | 23 |
| SCHWAB STRATEGIC TR | [SCHR](https://holderbook.com/stocks/SCHR/) | $38.8M | 1,574,348 | 4.2% | 8 |
| AMERICAN CENTY ETF TR | [AVUV](https://holderbook.com/stocks/AVUV/) | $36.9M | 295,565 | 3.9% | 10 |
| FIDELITY COVINGTON TRUST | [FVAL](https://holderbook.com/stocks/FVAL/) | $34.6M | 443,665 | 3.7% | 23 |
| SPDR SERIES TRUST | [SPIB](https://holderbook.com/stocks/SPIB/) | $31.4M | 939,100 | 3.4% | 18 |
| AMERICAN CENTY ETF TR | [AVEM](https://holderbook.com/stocks/AVEM/) | $28.0M | 289,841 | 3.0% | 18 |
| FIDELITY COVINGTON TRUST | [FQAL](https://holderbook.com/stocks/FQAL/) | $27.8M | 341,750 | 3.0% | 23 |
| ISHARES TR | [SHYG](https://holderbook.com/stocks/SHYG/) | $24.1M | 568,588 | 2.6% | 18 |
| ISHARES TR | [IUSV](https://holderbook.com/stocks/IUSV/) | $20.9M | 189,323 | 2.2% | 23 |
| ISHARES TR | [IVLU](https://holderbook.com/stocks/IVLU/) | $15.9M | 380,882 | 1.7% | 23 |
| GOLDMAN SACHS ETF TR | [GSSC](https://holderbook.com/stocks/GSSC/) | $15.4M | 169,229 | 1.7% | 23 |
| SCHWAB STRATEGIC TR | [FNDC](https://holderbook.com/stocks/FNDC/) | $14.9M | 306,034 | 1.6% | 23 |
| SPDR SERIES TRUST | [SPTL](https://holderbook.com/stocks/SPTL/) | $11.9M | 454,386 | 1.3% | 18 |
| STATE STR SPDR S&P 500 ETF T | [SPY](https://holderbook.com/stocks/SPY/) | $9.5M | 12,724 | 1.0% | 23 |
| SPDR SERIES TRUST | [SPYM](https://holderbook.com/stocks/SPYM/) | $5.2M | 58,738 | 0.6% | 12 |
| VANGUARD MUN BD FDS | [VTEB](https://holderbook.com/stocks/VTEB/) | $4.8M | 95,878 | 0.5% | 23 |
| ISHARES TR | [IWV](https://holderbook.com/stocks/IWV/) | $2.2M | 5,180 | 0.2% | 23 |
| ISHARES TR | [REZ](https://holderbook.com/stocks/REZ/) | $2.2M | 23,102 | 0.2% | 21 |
| ISHARES TR | [IXUS](https://holderbook.com/stocks/IXUS/) | $2.0M | 20,709 | 0.2% | 23 |
| ISHARES TR | [IVV](https://holderbook.com/stocks/IVV/) | $1.8M | 2,422 | 0.2% | 5 |
| ISHARES TR | [IWD](https://holderbook.com/stocks/IWD/) | $1.5M | 6,221 | 0.2% | 23 |
| APPLE INC | [AAPL](https://holderbook.com/stocks/AAPL/) | $1.4M | 4,848 | 0.2% | 23 |
| DIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST | [DFAC](https://holderbook.com/stocks/DFAC/) | $1.3M | 29,474 | 0.1% | 10 |
| SPDR SERIES TRUST | [SPMD](https://holderbook.com/stocks/SPMD/) | $1.2M | 18,251 | 0.1% | 12 |
| ISHARES TR | [ACWX](https://holderbook.com/stocks/ACWX/) | $1.2M | 15,908 | 0.1% | 16 |
| SCHWAB STRATEGIC TR | [SCHB](https://holderbook.com/stocks/SCHB/) | $1.1M | 37,355 | 0.1% | 10 |
| ISHARES TR | [IWM](https://holderbook.com/stocks/IWM/) | $984.0K | 3,275 | 0.1% | 23 |
| BROADSTONE NET LEASE INC | [BNL](https://holderbook.com/stocks/BNL/) | $971.8K | 47,014 | 0.1% | 22 |
| MICROSOFT CORP | [MSFT](https://holderbook.com/stocks/MSFT/) | $770.9K | 2,067 | 0.1% | 22 |
| ALPHABET INC | [GOOGL](https://holderbook.com/stocks/GOOGL/) | $766.6K | 2,145 | 0.1% | 5 |
| ISHARES TR | [IJR](https://holderbook.com/stocks/IJR/) | $732.2K | 4,937 | 0.1% | 23 |
| TRANE TECHNOLOGIES PLC | [TT](https://holderbook.com/stocks/TT/) | $668.0K | 1,360 | 0.1% | 13 |
| VANGUARD TAX-MANAGED FDS | [VEA](https://holderbook.com/stocks/VEA/) | $661.7K | 9,286 | 0.1% | 4 |
| DIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST | [DFAT](https://holderbook.com/stocks/DFAT/) | $606.2K | 8,672 | 0.1% | 10 |
| ISHARES TR | [OEF](https://holderbook.com/stocks/OEF/) | $589.1K | 1,610 | 0.1% | 23 |
| EATON CORP PLC | [ETN](https://holderbook.com/stocks/ETN/) | $522.4K | 1,226 | 0.1% | 13 |
| ISHARES TR | [ACWI](https://holderbook.com/stocks/ACWI/) | $510.6K | 3,253 | 0.1% | 23 |
| ISHARES TR | [GVI](https://holderbook.com/stocks/GVI/) | $508.9K | 4,797 | 0.1% | 23 |
| MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC | [MU](https://holderbook.com/stocks/MU/) | $498.7K | 432 | 0.1% | 1 |
| GOLDMAN SACHS ETF TR | [GBIL](https://holderbook.com/stocks/GBIL/) | $472.1K | 4,713 | 0.1% | 4 |
| ISHARES TR | [IEI](https://holderbook.com/stocks/IEI/) | $458.3K | 3,902 | 0.0% | 23 |
| NVIDIA CORPORATION | [NVDA](https://holderbook.com/stocks/NVDA/) | $427.2K | 2,135 | 0.0% | 2 |
| SPDR SERIES TRUST | [SPSM](https://holderbook.com/stocks/SPSM/) | $402.3K | 6,977 | 0.0% | 8 |
| ISHARES TR | [SUSA](https://holderbook.com/stocks/SUSA/) | $398.9K | 2,585 | 0.0% | 6 |
| DIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST | [DFUV](https://holderbook.com/stocks/DFUV/) | $365.6K | 6,646 | 0.0% | 10 |
| HARTFORD INSURANCE GROUP INC | [HIG](https://holderbook.com/stocks/HIG/) | $364.4K | 2,750 | 0.0% | 11 |
| HOME DEPOT INC | [HD](https://holderbook.com/stocks/HD/) | $344.2K | 976 | 0.0% | 15 |
| SCHWAB STRATEGIC TR | [SCHA](https://holderbook.com/stocks/SCHA/) | $319.4K | 8,840 | 0.0% | 11 |
| TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFAC | [TSM](https://holderbook.com/stocks/TSM/) | $317.1K | 664 | 0.0% | 3 |
| ISHARES TR | [IJH](https://holderbook.com/stocks/IJH/) | $295.4K | 3,831 | 0.0% | 3 |
| VISA INC | [V](https://holderbook.com/stocks/V/) | $284.1K | 828 | 0.0% | 4 |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | [JPM](https://holderbook.com/stocks/JPM/) | $269.7K | 824 | 0.0% | 5 |
| COHERENT CORP | [COHR](https://holderbook.com/stocks/COHR/) | $266.3K | 675 | 0.0% | 1 |
| AMAZON COM INC | [AMZN](https://holderbook.com/stocks/AMZN/) | $261.2K | 1,096 | 0.0% | 2 |
| CREDO TECHNOLOGY GROUP HOLDI | [CRDO](https://holderbook.com/stocks/CRDO/) | $243.4K | 895 | 0.0% | 1 |
| ABBVIE INC | [ABBV](https://holderbook.com/stocks/ABBV/) | $240.1K | 954 | 0.0% | 3 |
| VANGUARD STAR FDS | [VXUS](https://holderbook.com/stocks/VXUS/) | $217.2K | 2,541 | 0.0% | 1 |
| ASML HLDG NV | [ASML](https://holderbook.com/stocks/ASML/) | $214.9K | 108 | 0.0% | 1 |
| ISHARES TR | [SUB](https://holderbook.com/stocks/SUB/) | $209.8K | 1,971 | 0.0% | 11 |
| APPLIED MATLS INC | [AMAT](https://holderbook.com/stocks/AMAT/) | $208.9K | 289 | 0.0% | 1 |
| HOWMET AEROSPACE INC | [HWM](https://holderbook.com/stocks/HWM/) | $208.9K | 777 | 0.0% | 1 |
| BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC DEL | [BRKB](https://holderbook.com/stocks/BRKB/) | $206.2K | 412 | 0.0% | 1 |
| DIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST | [DFUS](https://holderbook.com/stocks/DFUS/) | $204.9K | 2,501 | 0.0% | 4 |
| DIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST | [DFSU](https://holderbook.com/stocks/DFSU/) | $201.7K | 4,325 | 0.0% | 1 |
| ISHARES TR | [IWN](https://holderbook.com/stocks/IWN/) | $200.2K | 905 | 0.0% | 1 |
| NIO INC | [NIO](https://holderbook.com/stocks/NIO/) | $168.0K | 33,195 | 0.0% | 3 |
| EASTMAN KODAK CO | [KODK](https://holderbook.com/stocks/KODK/) | $103.2K | 11,160 | 0.0% | 3 |

## What the disclosed book did

Not the fund's return. This is the change in value of the positions disclosed on Form 13F, had they been left untouched, against SPY over the same quarter ends.

| Quarter | Book | Market | Difference | Priced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | +11.9% | +14.8% | -2.9% | 100% |
| Q1 2026 | -1.5% | -4.6% | +3.1% | 100% |
| Q4 2025 | +1.1% | +2.4% | -1.2% | 100% |
| Q3 2025 | +5.2% | +7.8% | -2.6% | 100% |
| Q2 2025 | +7.4% | +10.5% | -3.1% | 100% |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3% | -4.6% | +4.2% | 100% |
| Q4 2024 | -2.1% | +2.1% | -4.3% | 100% |
| Q3 2024 | +5.6% | +5.4% | +0.2% | 100% |

## Quarter by quarter

| Quarter | Value | Positions |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $935.0M | 75 |
| Q1 2026 | $781.4M | 67 |
| Q4 2025 | $749.9M | 73 |
| Q3 2025 | $729.3M | 65 |
| Q2 2025 | $668.7M | 60 |
| Q1 2025 | $599.6M | 55 |
| Q4 2024 | $557.8M | 55 |
| Q3 2024 | $587.2M | 57 |
| Q2 2024 | $551.5M | 54 |
| Q1 2024 | $539.1M | 56 |
| Q4 2023 | $495.6M | 54 |
| Q3 2023 | $463.9M | 51 |